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Fitch: It is estimated that the sales growth rate of food, beverage, tobacco and consumer goods will be in low single digits in 2025.Shanghai's "trade-in" has driven consumption to exceed 10 billion yuan. According to the statistics of Shanghai Jiaodian Household Appliances Business Association, as of December 11, Shanghai's household appliances consumption subsidy activities have achieved remarkable results, and the number of people participating in the trade-in of household appliances in Shanghai has exceeded 3.57 million. The sales of eight categories of household appliances, including air conditioners, computers and refrigerators, covered by the state subsidy increased by 30%-40% year-on-year. During the implementation of the policy, the cumulative amount of subsidies reached 1.165 billion yuan, and the consumption of household appliances and household products by all platforms exceeded 10 billion yuan. (Liberation Daily)Goldman Sachs: With the strong growth of Permian crude oil output and the continuous strong performance of natural gas condensate, the shale oil output (crude oil and natural gas condensate) in 48 States in the United States will grow steadily, and the daily output is expected to increase by 600,000 barrels.

Economic Daily: Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment, the article said, "Experts believe that unconventional countercyclical adjustment pays attention to forward-looking and is ahead of expectations, which is conducive to stabilizing expectations and stabilizing total demand, thus consolidating the foundation for economic recovery. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment, fiscal policy will further exert its strength, which may be reflected in: actively using the deficit space that can be improved, increasing the scale of special bonds, and continuing to issue ultra-long-term special government bonds. On the one hand, the scale may exceed expectations, on the other hand, the pace will be faster, and the economy will be stabilized and rebounded. The formulation of monetary policy is changed from "steady" to "moderately loose", which is intended to convey a positive and promising policy tendency more clearly and better stabilize the expectations of business entities.At least 27 people were killed when the Israeli army bombed the central part of the Gaza Strip. According to a report by the Palestinian News Agency on the 12th, at least 27 people were killed, including women and children, and dozens of others were injured when the Israeli army bombed the Nuseilet refugee camp in the central part of the Gaza Strip that night.The yield of long-term US Treasury bonds rose by at least 7 basis points. Yellen auctioned 30-year US Treasury bonds at noon in new york, and the demand was weak. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), the yield of US 10-year benchmark Treasury bonds rose by 6.26 basis points, rising for the fourth consecutive trading day, reaching 4.3337% on the refresh day, approaching 4.3668% at the top of November 25, at 08:08 Beijing time (at the beginning of the Asia-Pacific session, Most of the day was on the rise, and there was a V-shaped reversal after the European Central Bank announced the interest rate cut at 21:15, after the US PPI data was released, and after the US stock market opened.

Hong Kong's IPO is expected to return to the top three in the world next year, and signs of recovery of Hong Kong's IPO are beginning to appear this year: Hong Kong's capital market has ushered in a strong wave of "listing in Hong Kong", from upstarts such as Horizon to giants such as Midea, SF Express, Hengrui, Haitian and Mao Geping, and many mainland enterprises have turned their attention to Hong Kong. Some institutions predict that Hong Kong is expected to return to the fourth place in global IPO financing this year and the top three in the world in 2025. "When I was in Hong Kong, I might have to see three or five companies a day. This is no exaggeration." Chen Yiting, chief executive of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, said in an interview recently that "many market participants and investment bankers are quite optimistic about Hong Kong's IPO market in 2025." (Securities Times)Brazil's stock index closed down 2.67%, the biggest drop since January 2023 after the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates.Turkish Presidential Palace: Erdogan told US Secretary of State Blinken that Turkey will take preventive measures against terrorist organizations including the People's Protection Force (YPG) and the Islamic State in Syria.